Milo & Michelle McGarry

(604) 341-0062
 
Wednesday, October 27, 2010

How healthy is the market?

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One simple but interesting statistic is the ratio of homes listed to the actual number of homes selling. This gives us the number of months worth of supply on the market. You could call this the absorption rate. In other words if 100 homes are listed at any one time and 25 homes sell in the last 30 days you could say that there is 4 months worth of product on the market. By comparing different areas and home types (attached vs detached) one can determine the relative "health" of the market in the various areas. It's even more interesting to look at the number of homes listed in the past 60 days that have actually sold. In the following tables I show these numbers for Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Port Moody.
 
The following table shows the overall number of homes listed, sold and the number of months supply on the market for each area:
 
 

Attached Homes (Aug 27, 2010 to Oct 27, 2010)

Area
 
Homes
listed
Homes
Sold
Number of Months
Supply on Market
Coquitlam
465
123
7.6
Port Coquitlam
249
66
7.54
Port Moody
242
54
9
 
 
 

Detached Homes (Aug 27, 2010 to Oct 27, 2010)

Area
Homes
listed
Homes
Sold
Number of Months
Supply on Market
Coquitlam
465
142
6.6
Port Coquitlam
172
42
8.2
Port Moody
115
27
8.5

 

When you look at the number of months worth of supply you can see that detached homes in Coquitlam are selling faster than homes in Port Coquitlam and Port Moody. The market for attached homes looks to be similar in all 3 areas.
 
A different picture emerges when you look at homes that were listed only in the last 60 days count the number of those homes that have sold. In other words, homes that were listed prior to 60 days ago are not counted.
 
The following table shows the figures:
 

Attached Homes (Aug 27, 2010 to Oct 27, 2010)

Area
Homes
listed
Homes
sold
Number of Months
Supply on Market
Coquitlam
265
48
11
Port Coquitlam
133
22
12
Port Moody
136
11
25
 

Detached Homes (Aug 27, 2010 to Oct 27, 2010)

Area

Homes
listed
Homes
sold
Number of Months
Supply on Market

Coquitlam

220

65

6.8

Port Coquitlam

96

16

12

Port Moody

49

12

8.2

 
The tables above show that sellers listed in the last 60 days are not realistically priced. Look at Port Moody attached properties. with 25 month's supply on the market, sellers have an uphill battle. The table also shows that the market for Coquitlam detached homes is relatively healthier that Port Moody and Port Coquitlam.

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